Do Elections Impact the Housing Market?

The 2024 Presidential election is just months away. As someone who’s thinking about potentially buying or selling a home, you’re probably curious about what effect, if any, elections have on the housing market.It’s a great question because buying or selling a home is a major decision, and it’s natural to wonder how such a major event might impact your plans.Historically, Presidential elections have only had a small, temporary impact on the housing market. Here’s the latest on exactly what’s happened to home sales, prices, and mortgage rates throughout those time periods.Home SalesDuring the month of November, in years when the Presidential election takes place, there’s typically a slight slowdown in home sales. As Ali Wolf, Chief Economist at Zonda, explains:“Usually, home sales are unchanged compared to a non-election year with the exception being November. In an election year, November is slower than normal.”This is mostly because some people feel uncertain and hesitant about making big decisions during such a pivotal time. However, it’s important to know this slowdown is temporary. Historically, home sales bounce back in December and continue to rise the following year. In fact, data from the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows after nine of the last 11 Presidential elections, home sales went up the next year (see graph below): The graph shows annual home sales going back to 1978. Each year with a Presidential election is noted in blue. The year immediately after each election is green if existing home sales rose that year. The two orange bars represent the only years when home sales decreased after an election.Home PricesWhat about home prices? Do they drop during election years? Not typically. As residential appraiser and housing analyst Ryan Lundquist puts it:“An election year doesn’t alter the price trend that is already happening in the market.”Home prices are pretty resilient. They generally rise year-over-year, regardless of elections. The latest data from NAR shows after seven of the last eight Presidential elections, home prices increased the following year (see graph below): Just like the previous graph, this shows election years in blue. The only year when prices declined after an election is in orange. That was during the housing market crash, which was far from a typical year. Today’s market is different than it was back then.All the green bars represent when prices rose the following year. So, if you're worried about your home losing value because of an election, you can rest easy knowing prices rise after most Presidential elections.Mortgage RatesMortgage rates are important because they affect how much your monthly payment will be when you buy a home. Looking at the last 11 Presidential election years, data from Freddie Mac shows mortgage rates decreased from July to November in eight of them (see chart below): Most forecasts expect mortgage rates to ease slightly throughout the remainder of the year. If they’re right, this year will follow the trend of declining rates leading up to most previous elections. And if you’re looking to buy a home in the coming months, this could be good news, as lower rates could mean a lower monthly payment.What This Means for YouSo, what’s the big takeaway? While Presidential elections do have some impact on the housing market, the effects are usually small and temporary. As Lisa Sturtevant, Chief Economist at Bright MLS, says:“Historically, the housing market doesn’t tend to look very different in presidential election years compared to other years.”For most buyers and sellers, elections don’t have a major impact on their plans.Bottom LineWhile it’s natural to feel a bit uncertain during an election year, history shows the housing market remains strong and resilient. If you have questions, reach out to a local real estate agent. They’re here to help you navigate the market, election year or not.

Celebrate Independence Day in Coastal Mississippi

Prepare yourself for an unforgettable Independence Day weekend celebration along the stunning shores of Coastal Mississippi! As the holiday approaches, our coastal communities burst with patriotic energy, offering an array of exciting festivities and mesmerizing fireworks. Whether you are a proud local or repeat or first-time traveler discovering our beautiful communities, the Independence Day events on the Mississippi Gulf Coast promise an enchanting mix of Southern hospitality, coastal splendor, and a deep appreciation for the history behind

Real Estate Is Still the Best Long-Term Investment [INFOGRAPHIC]

Some HighlightsAccording to a recent poll from Gallup, real estate has been voted the best long-term investment for twelve straight years.That’s because a home is so much more just than a roof over your head. It’s also an asset that typically grows in value over time. If you’ve been debating if it makes more sense to rent or buy, connect with a real estate agent to talk about why homeownership can be a better bet in the long run. 

Water Sports & Activities in Coastal Mississippi

There’s nothing better than a day at the beach, and Coastal Mississippi is just the place to kick off your shoes, put your feet in the sand and relax. With sixty-two miles of scenic shoreline, it’s easy to find a perfect place to set up for a day on the water! On Land Water parks are a great way to cool off during your Play Coastal getaway. Enjoy our coastal themed parks to have an exhilarating, splash-filled adventure. Gulf Islands Waterpark in Gulfport and Buccaneer Bay Waterpark in Waveland are both open to the public. Guests of